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Mar 2023
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Oil, Gas and Refined Products
Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Market Scenario Planning: Renewable Naphtha - 2023

Market Scenario Planning: Renewable Naphtha report provides NexantECA’s scenario forecast for bio and recycled naphtha out to 2050 globally.  Scenarios forecast supply based on Low, Base and High scenario assumptions whereby underlying policy, cost learning curves and market constraints evolve in fundamentally different ways.  As well as the scenarios, background to policy efforts, detail on market drivers as well as ongoing project developments are provided. This report is part of our new Market Scenario Planning program which looks at emerging products, market events and end-use industries where scenario forecasting provides more value due to the higher uncertainty associated with the subject.  Scenarios are defined and are informed by NexantECA’s expert knowledge of chemical, fuel and fertilizer markets.
Oct 2022
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C1 Chemicals and Fertilizers
Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Market Scenario Planning: Green Ammonia - 2022

Market Scenario Planning: Green Ammonia report provides NexantECA’s scenario forecast for green ammonia demand out to 2045 by key region and application (marine fuel, power generation, hydrogen carrier, fertilizer derivatives and industrial end uses).  Scenarios forecast demand based on low, base and high assumptions whereby underlying policy, cost learning curves and adoption of green ammonia in each application evolves in fundamentally different ways.  As well as the scenarios, detail on the current situation of the market and key market drivers (carbon intensity, market pressure, cost competitiveness and policy) are provided.This report is part of our new Market Scenario Planning program which looks at emerging products, market events and end-use industries where scenario forecasting provides more value due to the higher uncertainty associated with the subject.  Scenarios are defined as low, base and high and are informed by NexantECA’s expert knowledge of chemical, fuel and fertilizer markets.
Aug 2022
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Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Market Insights: Hydrogen - 2022

This report provides a comprehensive review of the global hydrogen market, including various sources of hydrogen supply and demand in refining, steel, industrial heat, passenger vehicles, road freight, aviation, rail, space heating, ammonia, methanol and other.Market Insights: Hydrogen - 2022 includes a market review and outlook to 2035 for each key region:  North America, South America, Western and Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, China and Other Asia Pacific.  The report also discusses viable pathways for hydrogen production, along with hydrogen production costs, levelized costs of hydrogen (LCOH) and pricing.Market drivers, key challenges, and potential barriers are reviewed and evaluated including regulatory framework and policies for stimulating overall hydrogen demand. Hydrogen pricing is reviewed and a comparative costs analysis of the main colours of hydrogen (e.g., grey, blue, and green) is performed.AbstractFor achieving “net-zero” emissions by 2050 to constrain the global temperature rise to 1.5 to 2.0 degrees Celsius (°C), negligible or minimal (low) carbon hydrogen is receiving much attention.  Hydrogen is typically used in the chemical industry for several important products such as ammonia, methanol, cyclohexane, hydrogen peroxide, aniline, and oxo alcohols, amongst others.  Hydrogen is also used in the refining sector to reduce the sulfur content of certain fuel streams as well as in many other industries.  In recent years, there is a growing emphasis on adopting hydrogen as an “energy carrier” in fuel cell applications which would open a potentially large new market.  Different types of hydrogen are defined based on a colour palette classifying hydrogen based on its potential environmental footprint and resulting impact. 
Jun 2022
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Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Market Insights: Lithium Chemicals - 2022

Market Insights: Lithium Chemicals - 2022 provides a comprehensive review of the global lithium chemicals market, including lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide and briefly lithium chloride, lithium bromide, lithium metal, organolithium chemistries. The report focuses on the two primary sources of supply, lithium brines and hard rock spodumene.  In recent years, hard rock sources have overtaken brines as the leading source of lithium.Analysis includes a discussion regarding key market drivers and constraints for each region:  North America, South America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and China.  Competitiveness analysis, including competitive landscape and cost competitiveness for lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide.  Price history and forecast to 2035 with commentary regarding latest trends.
Apr 2022
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Renewable Chemicals and Energy
Oil, Gas and Refined Products

Market Insights: Fuel Ethanol - 2022

Analysis and forecast of supply and demand of the global fuel ethanol market.  This report includes discussion regarding key market drivers and constraints, as well as supply, demand and trade analysis for nine regions: Asia Pacific, China, North America, South America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa, with forecasts to 2035.  Analysis, including first generation and advanced ethanol consumption, the development of governmental support mechanisms in the era of Net Zero emissions targets, feedstock issues and progress on cellulosic production, alongside pricing and cost competitiveness analysis, is also included by region.  
Nov 2021
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Polymers and Plastics
Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Market Insights: Recycled Polyolefins - 2021

This report provides analysis and forecast to 2035 of the global recycled polyolefins market, including supply by mechanical method and chemical processes and demand by product and end use.     Market Insights: Recycled Polyolefins - 2021 includes discussion regarding key market drivers and constraints, as well as demand analysis for nine regions: North America, South America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and China.  Analysis also includes the competitive landscape, capacity listing and cost competitiveness along with a snapshot of latest pricing trends by region and price forecasts to 2035.Abstract:The EU tax of €800 per ton on virgin polymers used in packaging was introduced in January 2021. The EU tax will incentivise use of recycled material. From April 2022, the UK will introduce a similar plastic packaging tax of £200 per ton for packaging with less than 30% recycled content; however there will be an exemption for manufacturers and importers of less than 10 tons of plastic packaging per year. No other regions have yet followed.Plastics use in other applications has attracted no taxation so far. Use in personal protective equipment (PPE) somewhat redeemed the public perception of plastic during the COVID pandemic. Recent low oil prices have made recycling economics more challenging, and COVID-19 contamination concerns and labour restrictions have reduced collection and sorting capacity that is already structurally constrained.Limited availability of post consumer resin (PCR) is renewing interest in bio-feedstock and chemical process as a means to meet brand sustainability objectives.  There are around 50 technologies currently under development for the conversion of waste plastics to basic hydrocarbons, ranging from solvents/waxes to synthetic crudes, transportation fuels and importantly cracker feedstock.The applications for mechanically recycled polyolefins are limited due to deteriorated properties although it can be improved to a certain extent by use of compatibilizers and blending with virgin material. For example, use in food packaging is prohibited by the EFSA and FDA regulations but increasing demand is found in stretch film for industrial and agricultural uses etc. Recycled polyolefins use in non-standard applications such as plastic lumber and will not erode virgin demand.A combination of legislation, taxes, consumer pressure/brand owner response drives growth in recycled polyolefins, which also depends on competitive economics and efficiency in resource recovery and greenhouse gas emissions. Adoption of a circular model for the plastics value chain is expected to be gradual.
Sep 2021
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Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Market Insights: Hydrotreated Vegetable Oils – 2021

This report provides analysis and forecast to 2035 of the global market for hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO), including the markets for renewable diesel, bio-based aviation fuel and bio-based naphtha.     Market Insights: Hydrotreated Vegetable Oils – 2021 includes discussion regarding key market drivers and constraints, as well as demand analysis for nine regions: North America, South America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and China.  Analysis also includes the competitive landscape, capacity listing and cost competitiveness along with a snapshot of latest pricing trends by region and price forecasts to 2035.
Aug 2021
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Petrochemicals
Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Market Insights: Recycled Polyester - 2021

This report provides analysis and forecast to 2035 of the global recycled polyester market, including supply by mechanical method and chemical processes (glycolysis and methanolysis/hydrolysis) and demand in bottle, fibre and others.     Market Insights: Recycled Polyester - 2021 includes discussion regarding key market drivers and constraints, as well as demand analysis for nine regions: North America, South America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and China.  Analysis also includes the competitive landscape, capacity listing and cost competitiveness along with a snapshot of latest pricing trends by region and price forecasts to 2035.
Apr 2021
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Renewable Chemicals and Energy
C1 Chemicals and Fertilizers

Market Insights: Carbon Dioxide - 2021

This report provides analysis and forecasts to 2035 of the global carbon dioxide market.       Market Insights: Carbon Dioxide - 2021 includes discussion regarding key trends, as well as demand outlook  for nine regions: North America, South America, Western Europe, Central Europe, Eastern Europe, Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and China with forecasts to 2035.  Demand is segmented by urea, enhanced oil recovery, food and beverages, and 'others.  Cost competitiveness of two CO2 derived chemicals is also included.
Nov 2020
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Petrochemicals
Renewable Chemicals and Energy

Webinar - Changing fortunes in the polyurethane value chain

2020 has seen a reversal in the fortunes of most players in the polyurethane industry. Containment measures implemented during the first half of the year caused disruption to supply and a sharp drop in demand during Q2 as construction and automotive output fell as well as consumer spending due to lockdown measures. Q3 has seen strong recovery in demand in many sectors of the industry but question marks over demand growth and oversupply remain for Q4 and as we look into 2021.This presentation considers the polyurethane industry in 2020 and provides NexantECA's outlook on supply of polyurethane raw materials and demand for different types of polyurethane.

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